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Thread: 2020 Political Thread - Sodom and Gomorrah

  1. #176
    Quote Quoting dreamdead (view post)
    I've been tracking the GA numbers dip away from Trump for the past two days and Biden's within 10,000 votes with more to count (nothing to be called till tomorrow). But I was seeing that the military/overseas numbers are still to be counted, and so now I'm newly bummed that a Biden razor-thin win from mail/provisional ballots counted tomorrow would still just flip if those military/overseas numbers weren't strong.

    ETA: perhaps not great that Trump's statements about military service pissed off servicemen/women, but the partisan edge in GA would still make me hyper. And would anyone really flip a vote from that kind of statement...?
    But remember that just because military overseas ballots have until Friday 5pm to be returned in GA, doesn't mean all of them are outstanding. If they got those votes in by 7pm on Tuesday, they should already be in the pile to be counted or counted already.

    These counties are key:
    Fulton ~7K
    Chatham ~17K
    Gwinnet ~4K

    If he takes 60% of those 3 counties alone (and he'll take in better percentages than that), he nets over 16K votes while currently being down 9K. And he's even been pulling in majority percentages on mail-ins in red counties that are still counting, so that could conceivably pad even further.

    Provisional ballots would probably break even.

    My point is that he has a shot to withstanding even the military overseas ballots.

    I don't want to hope, but god I want this one...

  2. #177
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    3.6k difference only in GA now... 😳

  3. #178
    Replacing Luck Since 1984 Dukefrukem's Avatar
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    Quote Quoting [ETM] (view post)
    3.6k difference only in GA now... ��
    Oh shiiit

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  4. #179
    Quote Quoting amberlita (view post)
    But remember that just because military overseas ballots have until Friday 5pm to be returned in GA, doesn't mean all of them are outstanding. If they got those votes in by 7pm on Tuesday, they should already be in the pile to be counted or counted already.

    These counties are key:
    Fulton ~7K
    Chatham ~17K
    Gwinnet ~4K

    If he takes 60% of those 3 counties alone (and he'll take in better percentages than that), he nets over 16K votes while currently being down 9K. And he's even been pulling in majority percentages on mail-ins in red counties that are still counting, so that could conceivably pad even further.

    Provisional ballots would probably break even.

    My point is that he has a shot to withstanding even the military overseas ballots.

    I don't want to hope, but god I want this one...
    Oof. Belay my last. Apparently they pulled military and overseas ballots out and won't count them till Friday at 5pm.

  5. #180
    Helpful webscraping on outstanding vote totals, current averages, and margins needed to overcome:

    https://alex.github.io/nyt-2020-elec...e-changes.html

  6. #181
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    That's perfect, thanks!

  7. #182
    Biden is up 11k in NV and 57k in Arizona. I don't see a way for Trump to win at this point.

    Meanwhile, the networks found a spine and cut away from Trump's weirdo press conference.

    Also, this:

    Downcast Trump makes baseless election fraud claims in White House address

    ^ The NY Post is a Murdoch paper. loooooooooooooooool

  8. #183
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    Allegedly Trump was furious when Fox called Arizona early and called to complain. Murdoch refused to budge.

  9. #184
    Administrator Ezee E's Avatar
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    Yeah, I was watching that press conference. First time I've ever seen a network cut off the President to my knowledge.

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  10. #185
    Pennsylvania fittin' to steal Georgia's thunder as the first to flip blue.

    C'mon Clayton County!!!

  11. #186
    Criterion time DFA1979's Avatar
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    I donno when we will find out who won exactly, but we will remember the friends we made along the way.
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  12. #187
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    Georgia is blue, Biden up by over 900 with 5.5k to go.

  13. #188
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    Georgia going blue is... wow. Let's see if it sticks.

    If it does, those of you looking for a strong repudiation of Trumpism, there ya go.
    Losing is like fertilizer: it stinks for a while, then you get used to it. (Tony, Hibbing)

  14. #189
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    Since Abrams lost in 2018 they registered about 800,000 new voters in Georgia. Basically African American activists in Atlanta carried this on their backs.

    Oh, and Pennsylvania just turned blue as well, and should stay that way. The prediction where Biden won it by about 100,000 in the end seems highly plausible right now.

  15. #190
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    Waking up to GA and PA blue? Happy Friday everyone. I feel like making another top 10 Duke thread now.

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  16. #191
    Administrator Ezee E's Avatar
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    Great.

    Now the scary part happens for three months, which is wild.

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  17. #192
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  18. #193
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    Quote Quoting [ETM] (view post)
    Since Abrams lost in 2018 they registered about 800,000 new voters in Georgia. Basically African American activists in Atlanta carried this on their backs.

    Oh, and Pennsylvania just turned blue as well, and should stay that way. The prediction where Biden won it by about 100,000 in the end seems highly plausible right now.
    Abrams rocks and she did great work.
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  19. #194
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    Biden takes PA. It's over but it's not over heh.

    Biden at 284 projected to get 306

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  20. #195
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    Well I'll be damned. Go Joe. I didn't vote for him (or Trump) but I also didn't throw my vote away. If you total all the non-Trump votes, Ohio still goes to Trump by like half a million.

  21. #196
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    Congrats. And on a more selfish note, *thank you* for making our international news section less dumb going forward now.
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  22. #197
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    NV turns official.

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  23. #198
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  24. #199
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    Finally. I'm looking forward to liberals calling me a dirty commie who hates America when I criticize Biden. At least Trump is gone until he tries to run again in 2024.
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  25. #200
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    Any props on what Trump does in his last 2.5 months of office??

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